It pains me to start my first entry on this website with a dire warning. The arctic sea ice is melting at an alarming rate. We've known about this for quite a few years now, but until this year most projections for an ice free Arctic put forth the years from 2050 to 2100. The unprecedented melting of the ice that occurred this summer and is in fact still occurring today has made me ever more aware of the clear and present danger of climate change.
This year marks the first time in recorded history that the extent of the sea ice has reached the total of 3.41 million squared kilometres. This year marks the first time in recorded history that the extent of the sea ice has fallen 50% below the 1979-2000 average. This year marks the first time in recorded history that the sea ice melting had defied all model projections by recording the fastest ever daily loss of sea ice cover.
We are falling off the cliff. The climate models designed to predict the future changes to our weather patterns have all missed the mark. And, from looking at the image, it is clear to see that they have missed the mark by a long shot. Most models did not foresee such a low sea ice cover until the 2040s and 2050s, with the most optimistic scenarios projecting 2060s and 2080s. The all feared ice free summers in the arctic were not predicted to occur until well after anyone currently in power would be gone.
Mother nature proved us wrong in a grand fashion. We are well on course to our own self destruction and we are picking up speed. When you are about fall off the cliff, the only way to survive is to have a parachute. We had our chance to put on that parachute about 30 years ago. We did not put it on. We raced to the edge of the cliff and jumped right off it, believing ourselves capable of flying. We were so wrong.
Still, one question remains. If our models were wrong in predicting the extent of sea ice loss in the arctic, how right are they in predicting the global temperature rise. Are we about to fall off another cliff of rapid temperature increase? The answer it seems is that all records are meant to be broken.